Hot Topics · 03 Homelessness Measure P Oversight

Berkeley controls 56 of the 320 shelter beds inside Berkeley.

The county controls referrals to the other 264. The city's main homelessness fund is projected to go below zero this year and $22.8 million below zero by 2029. And the department that runs all of it cannot tell you its own vacancy rate, because nobody publishes one.

Berkeley spent about $25 million on homelessness in FY2025 across 36 projects and 16 providers. I am not going to tell you that money was wasted — I have not found evidence that it was, and the people doing outreach at six in the morning are not the problem. What I will tell you is that the city cannot presently answer, site by site, who pays, who controls the door, and how many Berkeley residents got through it. Every finding on this page comes from the City's own Auditor and City Manager. They did the measuring. The Council hasn't acted on it.

Last updated 26 August 2026

The short version

  1. The county, not the city, decides who gets most of Berkeley's shelter beds. As of August 2024 there were 320 shelter beds in Berkeley. The Homeless Response Team had direct referral authority over 56. The other 264 are managed by the Alameda County Continuum of Care and are, in the Auditor's words, "outside the HRT's direct control." The city's own 2024 gap analysis goes further: new permanent supportive housing built here "is not guaranteed to go to people experiencing homelessness in the city."
  2. Measure P is projected below zero this year and $22.8 million below zero by 2029. It is a transfer tax on property sales, so it swings with the housing market — $20.6 million in FY2022, $6.5 million in FY2024. Spending did not swing with it. The City Manager's own projection shows the fund balance at −$1,231,027 in FY2026 and −$22,789,927 by FY2029 on current allocations. Measure W, effective January 2027, adds an estimated $2–4 million a year — but the tax is collected at close of sale, so the city's own revenue report books just $1.5 million in FY2027 and about $3 million a year after. That does not close it. And both measures are general taxes: Council "shall consider, but need not follow" the Panel of Experts' spending recommendations.
  3. Two three-year plans, overlapping populations, no shared scorecard. Berkeley is one of three city health jurisdictions in California — with Long Beach and Pasadena — so it writes its own plans. The Community Health Improvement Plan names behavioral health a priority. The Behavioral Health Services Act plan lists Public Health among its stakeholders. Different money, different cycles, different commissions. The CHIP says of itself: "The CHIP is not a strategic plan for either the HHCS Department, or our Public Health Division. Rather, it is a vision for improving the health of our community citywide." A citywide vision is a fine thing to have. A departmental strategic plan is a different thing — and I could find no document that is one.
  4. Forty-three percent of the city's FY2024 service contracts had no documented competition — and the fix has been sitting in committee since April. The Auditor found 94 of 218 contracts, about $43 million, without documented competition; 95 active contracts that began at or under the $50,000 threshold and were amended upward by an average of $218,026; one HHCS youth case-management contract that went from $50,000 to $737,092.
  5. The city cannot publish the vacancy rate for the department that delivers these services. Citywide it is 13.6% — 211.69 of 1,559.54 positions vacant. A rate for Health, Housing & Community Services specifically does not appear in the budget book, in the Auditor's reports, or anywhere else I could find. The Health Officer post was filled on an interim basis from September 2023 to June 2025.
Where I stand

Measure it. Then fund it.

Some of this clearly works. Berkeley has won three state Encampment Resolution grants — People's Park, the Harrison Street corridor, Second and Cedar — worth about $15 million. Those motel rooms, together with the Measure P–funded beds at the Berkeley Inn, are the 56 the Auditor counted as city-controlled: filled by Berkeley's own outreach teams rather than the county queue. And since February 2026 a newer program, CareBridge, has added 30 rooms at the Signature Inn under an $8 million state grant — "a no-match grant with no impact on the City's General Fund" — where Berkeley police identify candidates and the provider screens and admits them, also outside the county queue. (CareBridge is a post-arrest diversion program; the city is explicit that "being unhoused is not the criteria.") These are real results, won by staff who wrote good applications — one was declined once, and they went back.

But a city spending $25 million a year should be able to hand a resident one table showing where it went and what came back. Until it can, every allocation vote is a vote taken on faith. I'm not asking to cut it. I'm asking what it bought. Five asks — each one a report, not a program:

  • Ask 01 One table, every site: who pays, who refers, who got in.

    For each shelter, motel and supportive-housing site the city funds — the funding source, who controls referrals (city, county Coordinated Entry, or the provider), and the share of placements in the last twelve months who were Berkeley residents. The Auditor already built the bed count. Finish the table.

  • Ask 02 A five-year Measure P sustainability table before the next allocation vote.

    The fund goes negative on the City Manager's own numbers, and the Homeless Services Panel of Experts recommends allocations one year at a time. Council should not allocate FY2028 money without seeing FY2028–2032 revenue under three housing-market scenarios, and what each program is funded at when the transfer tax comes in at FY2024 levels.

  • Ask 03 One HHCS outcomes dashboard that both three-year plans report into.

    Pick ten numbers — shelter exits to permanent housing, crisis calls resolved without transport, time-to-fill for clinicians — and publish them quarterly against both plans. If the CHIP and the BHSA plan cannot share a single baseline, they are not coordinating. They are coexisting.

  • Ask 04 Vacancy and time-to-fill, by division, every quarter.

    The Auditor flagged a 19% citywide vacancy rate in 2023, second-highest of the nine Bay Area cities it compared. Three years on, the city still publishes one number for roughly 1,560 positions. Break it out by department and division, with the median days a posted position stays open. You cannot plan a service around staff you cannot count.

  • Ask 05 Bring the contracts ordinance to a vote — and make it cover amendments.

    The proposed amendment to BMC 7.18 would require competitive solicitation above $100,000. It was referred to the Budget & Finance Committee on 27 April 2026 and has not reached Council; the July meeting it was scheduled for was cancelled. It needs two additions: an amendment that pushes a contract past the threshold should trigger the same rule, and the annual report should be a standing Council item rather than a records request.

To be clear about what this is not

This is not an argument to cut Measure P, close a shelter, or sweep anyone. Berkeley voters passed Measure P with 72% and Measure W with 61%; that purpose is legitimate and I will defend it. My standard on encampments is the same one I apply everywhere else on this site: no closure without a documented offer of placement, and published 30- and 90-day outcomes for the people who were there.

It is also not an accusation against HHCS staff or against any provider. I have not found, and do not assert, that a particular contract was awarded improperly or that a particular program underperforms. The claim is narrower and, I think, harder to argue with: this is a system nobody measures end to end.

The record

Eight years, one tax, one queue

Every item below is traceable to a public document linked at the bottom of this page — mostly City Auditor reports and City Manager memoranda to Council.

The money

A fund that swings with the housing market, spending that doesn't

Measure P revenue by fiscal year, and the City Manager's own projection of where the fund balance lands if allocations continue as they are.

Fiscal yearMeasure P revenueProjected fund balance, year end
FY2019$2.9M
FY2020$9.5M
FY2021$10.9M
FY2022$20.6M
FY2023$14.1M
FY2024$6.5M$5,583,073
FY2025$8.2M projected$2,603,208
FY2026$8.6M projected−$1,231,027
FY2027−$10,099,726
FY2028−$14,409,877
FY2029−$22,789,927

Revenue FY2019–FY2025 and all fund-balance projections: City Manager off-agenda memorandum, Measure P and Impact on Homeless Services in Berkeley, 28 March 2025. FY2026 revenue projection: HSPE allocation item, 29 October 2024. Projections assume current allocations continue and exclude Measure W revenue, which begins January 2027. One caution: the memo's own narrative says the deficit "will grow to $19.8 million" by FY2029 while its table shows the −$22,789,927 ending balance above — a roughly $3 million internal discrepancy the memo never explains. This page uses the table; either number is a fund tens of millions short.

The other scored pot: community agency funding

Measure P is not the only money that gets scored. Berkeley pools its General Fund human-services dollars with federal CDBG, CSBG, ESG and HOME-ARP, Measure E, Measure U1 and state pass-throughs into a single four-year community agency cycle (July 2024 – June 2028), about $10.9 million a year. Four bodies score it: the Homeless Services Panel of Experts scores the largest share — $4,833,223 for alcohol and drug treatment, emergency shelter, housing navigation and rapid re-housing — with commissions for human welfare, housing and youth scoring the rest. This is the structured, criteria-based allocation process the rest of this page keeps asking for. It exists. It should be the model, not the exception. (One stream has already hit the wall: state HHAP money — Berkeley is too small to receive it directly and gets pass-throughs — paid $603,000 a year for 24/7 shelter operations until it ended on 31 December 2025.)

56 / 320
Shelter beds under direct city referral, Aug 2024
31%
Measure P share of FY2025 homelessness spending — $7.8M of $25.4M
280
Average days on the north-county housing queue
94 / 218
FY2024 service contracts without documented competition
Not published
Vacancy rate for HHCS, the department that runs all of this
The structural problem

Two three-year plans that never meet

Berkeley is one of only three city health jurisdictions in California (with Long Beach and Pasadena) — and one of only two city behavioral-health jurisdictions (with Tri-City, serving Pomona, Claremont and La Verne). State money arrives here directly rather than through Alameda County, and the city writes its own plans. That is a genuine advantage — it also means nobody upstream is checking whether the plans line up. These two cover overlapping populations and share no baseline, no target and no report.

Community Health Improvement Plan
BHSA Three-Year Integrated Plan

Published September 2025, horizon 2025–28.

Written by consultant JSI Research & Training Institute, contract not to exceed $274,413.

Money CDPH Future of Public Health grant — $874,346 a year, at least 70% of which must go to permanent staff.

Names behavioral health as one of four priorities.

Says of itself "The CHIP is not a strategic plan for either the HHCS Department, or our Public Health Division. Rather, it is a vision for improving the health of our community citywide."

Implementation phased through 2028; the "Action" phase began April 2026, with working groups reporting to the Community Health Commission.

Approved 16 June 2026 on the consent calendar, horizon FY2027–29.

Written by city staff, reviewed by the Behavioral Health Commission.

Money Behavioral Health Services Act — $11.70M, $12.05M and $12.41M in base allocations across the three years.

Lists the Public Health Division among its stakeholder organizations.

Approved one week before a budget that eliminated the city's last General Fund–funded mental health crisis response.

The crisis-response handoff nobody has put in writing

The budget that eliminated the Mobile Crisis Team says the city "will rely on Alameda County, which is a County responsibility." That responsibility is real: under the Disability Rights California v. Alameda County settlement (November 2023), the county must "provide mobile crisis response services on a county-wide basis" and maintain at least nine mobile crisis teams. But the county's own settlement-mandated assessment, published January 2025, counted Berkeley's city-run Mobile Crisis Team toward that countywide capacity — and then concluded the mobile-crisis need was fulfilled. Berkeley has now eliminated the team the county was counting. The team was already running five days a week against a seven-day design before the cut. I have found no written commitment from the county about what replaces it inside Berkeley. Getting one — with response times — belongs on the next councilmember's desk in the first month.

What I could not confirm

The final shape of the FY2027 cuts. The elimination of the Mobile Crisis Team, the vector-control transfer and the STAIR reduction are in the City Manager's proposed budget and were reported as adopted by the Berkeley Scanner and the Daily Californian. I have not read the adopted budget resolution itself. If it differs, this page changes.

County crisis coverage inside Berkeley. The county's settlement obligation is "county-wide," but Berkeley runs its own behavioral-health jurisdiction and the settlement never names the city. Whether county teams will actually cover Berkeley calls at former Mobile Crisis Team levels is, as far as I can find, written down nowhere. If someone has that commitment on paper, send it to me and I will link it here.

The status of the contracts ordinance. "Has not reached Council" is true as of the last Budget & Finance agenda I could find. If the committee has acted since 21 August, tell me and I will move the date.

FY2026 Measure P line items. The Homeless Services Panel's recommendations were referred back by the Budget Committee as already covered by the adopted biennial budget, so I cite them as recommendations rather than as adopted amounts.

The federal case

The closure procedure is now a court order

The sharpest outside audit of this system is not the Auditor's. It is happening in federal court. Since February 2025, the Berkeley Homeless Union's lawsuit over the Eighth and Harrison corridor encampment (Berkeley Homeless Union v. City of Berkeley, N.D. Cal. 25-cv-01414) has put the city's closure practices in front of U.S. District Judge Edward Chen — and the closure the city has been trying to carry out now runs on the court's schedule, under conditions the court wrote.

Set the injunction next to the standard I stated above — no closure without a documented offer of placement, and published 30- and 90-day outcomes for the people who were there. A federal judge has now ordered the documentation half of that standard: notice in writing, assessments on file, property accounted for. That is what happens when an institution cannot show its work — someone else ends up ordering it to, line by line, after eighteen months of litigation. The half no court can order is outcomes. Whether the people moved out in September are housed in October and December — publishing that is still the city's choice. It is the choice this page is about.

Look it up

Don't take my word for it

Everything on this page is sourced to a public document. If you think I've read one of them wrong, tell me and I'll correct the page.

Beds, placement and the county queue

Measure P and Measure W

The two plans, and public health

Contracts and staffing

The federal litigation

Reporting

Tell me where I'm wrong More Hot Topics